A Big Shift

South Africa: Local elections outcome could be a ‘watershed moment’ for ANC

By Carien du Plessis

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Posted on November 11, 2021 11:24

Supporters of the ruling African National Congress party dance outside a voting station during municipal elections in Khayelitsha townshi
Supporters of the ruling African National Congress (ANC) dance outside a voting station during municipal elections in Khayelitsha township in Cape Town, South Africa, November 1, 2021. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings

The share of the vote for South Africa’s governing African National Congress has for the first time in its history dropped to below 50%, to now stand at 45.6%. Most of its losses in the 1 November local government elections have been in metros, where it retained outright control of only two out of the eight – all of which were under ANC control following the first local government elections in 2000.

Coalition politics, which started with the Democratic Alliance (DA) taking control of the City of Cape Town with a number of smaller parties in 2006, became more widespread in 2016. There are now indications that it could spread to provincial or even national level in 2024.

Transition into democracy

Some parallels have been drawn with South Africa’s transition to democracy in 1994. President Cyril Ramaphosa terms the proliferation of parties and candidates in the recent elections as “another milestone in the advance of our democracy”, likening it to the signing of the country’s constitution 25 years ago this month.

A record 325 parties took part, up almost 50% from the number recorded five years ago.

The proliferation of parties and candidates was interpreted by analysts as a general loss of faith in the governing ANC, and to a lesser extent the opposition DA, which also saw a

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