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South Africa: Zuma ordered back to prison, what happens next?

By The Africa Report

Posted on December 15, 2021 09:37

Former South African President Jacob Zuma appears before the Commission of Inquiry into State Capture in Johannesburg © Former president Jacob Zuma appears before the Commission of Inquiry into State Capture in Johannesburg, South Africa, 19 July 2019. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings
Former president Jacob Zuma appears before the Commission of Inquiry into State Capture in Johannesburg, South Africa, 19 July 2019. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings

The former South African president Jacob Zuma has been ordered back to jail, after his medical parole was ruled illegal by the Gauteng High Court.

The court ruled unlawful the decision to place former president Jacob Zuma on medical parole taken by National Commissioner of Correctional Services Arthur Fraser.

Arthur Fraser is a former spy chief, put into the position by Jacob Zuma, and moved to Correctional Services by Cyril Ramaphosa.

“It is declared that the time [Zuma] was out of jail on medical parole should not be counted for the fulfilment of [Zuma’s] sentence of 15 months imposed by the Constitutional Court” announced the Gauteng High Court this morning.

“It is hereby directed that the third Respondent [Jacob Zuma] be returned to the custody of the Department of Correctional Services to serve out the remainder of his sentence of imprisonment”.

Courts have spoken, what next?

All eyes now turn to the political ramifications of the judgement.

In July 2021, after Jacob Zuma was imprisoned for 15 months for contempt of court, violence erupted in his home province of Kwa-Zulu Natal, and in Johannesburg.

Over 300 died,  1,200 people were arrested, and over $1bn of damage was done to property.

Some analysts believe the timing – just before the holidays, with many people travelling around the country — will make it harder to organise protests.

But Nkosentsha Shezi, a core Zuma ally and key member of the ‘Radical Economic Transformation’ faction of the ANC, told reporters: “I cannot predict what will happen, but I can promise you that I, together with my comrades will defend Zuma and even the last time, it was his choice to go to prison and bypass us. I hope he will not do that because we will forever be ready, even if it means dying in defense of our ideals, we will do so”.

Carl Niehaus, another close Zuma ally, cleverly appropriates the language of ‘state capture’ to accuse the courts of bias. The term was first used in South African political discourse to explain the relationship between the disgraced Gupta brothers and Jacob Zuma’s administration.