In The Mixer

Dangote needs strong cement business as backup option for refinery financing

By David Whitehouse

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Posted on May 12, 2022 04:00

 © Fitch sees Aliko Dangote’s involvement in operations as adding to the risks for his group. 
REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja
Fitch sees Aliko Dangote’s involvement in operations as adding to the risks for his group. REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja

Dangote Cement will turn in a strong 2022 full-year performance, with high pricing set to compensate for weak volumes in the first quarter, according to new research from Chapel Hill Denham in Nigeria.

Volumes were 1.5% weaker in the first quarter in Nigeria, and down 7.6% in the rest of Africa. Management has blamed gas supply disruptions in Nigeria and maintenance and supply chain issues elsewhere. Despite that, the company was able to grow revenue by 24%, supported by higher prices in Nigeria.

Nigeria’s gas supply bottleneck is likely to put a ceiling on volume growth over the rest of 2022, the research says. Management told an analysts conference call that it favours profitability over volume growth. Chapel Hill Denham now expects full-year volumes to grow by 5.9%, a reduction of 3.2 percentage points from its previous forecast.

After strong share price performance, Dangote Cement now is still cheaper than peers such as Ciments du Maroc and Carthage Cement on the basis of enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda), Chapel Hill

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