This is part 2 of a 5-part series
In response to Addis Ababa’s announcement of plans to begin the second phase of filling the reservoir behind the dam under construction on the Blue Nile, Cairo — backed by a growing chorus of countries, including Sudan — said it will not allow a soul to hijack its water resources and is willing to use force to defend them.
Is a war brewing on the Nile? An impasse has set in less than two months before the deadline of what amounts to an ultimatum — issued by Egypt and Sudan — calling on Ethiopia to reverse its plans to move forward with the second phase of filling the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD).
The gulf continues to widen between Egypt and Ethiopia in a dispute that dates back to April 2011, when Addis Ababa took the unilateral decision to divert waters from the Blue Nile to fill what is set to become, by the end of 2022, the largest hydroelectric power plant in Africa.
Cairo is invoking its historical rights over the waterway, while Addis Ababa views the dam as a matter of national sovereignty. Both positions have become irreconcilable, with the two countries’ assorted leaders doubling down on their stances over the course of the decade-long feud.
Threats of military action
Ethiopia’s response to Egypt’s veto power over Nile projects — a vestige of British colonial rule — that the country continues to believe it enjoys, has been to impose a fait accompli.
As far as their respective populations are concerned, they manipulate symbols to stir up nationalist pride and prey on fears. For instance, Addis Ababa has talked up how the dam will benefit Ethiopia’s economic development by meeting its power needs, among other things.
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Also in this In Depth:
breaking point
Egypt-Ethiopia: ‘Dam of Discord’ continues to pressure relations The construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the Blue Nile tributary has been poisoning the atmosphere between Cairo, Addis Ababa and Khartoum for more than 10 years. The situation has escalated to the point where a military conflict can no longer be easily dismissed.graphic understanding
Ethiopia-Egypt: GERD, a feat of engineering Using 10 metric tonnes of concrete, standing at 175 metres tall and with a reservoir volume of 79 km3, the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam is an impressive feat of engineering – as well as a source of conflict between Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan. We delve deeper into the intricacies with a visual explanation below.red line
Ethiopia/GERD: What would push Egypt’s Sisi to resort to force? Egypt appears to be getting serious about military action against Ethiopia over its control over Nile River water resources. In fact, President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi’s political future hinges on how well he manages the dam dispute.pandora's box
Ethiopia/Egypt: GERD fight sucks in global actors The failure of the latest round of negotiations between Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt regarding the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam could have dramatic repercussions for the region and the world, potentially setting off a new migrant crisis, a military intervention and chaos in shipping.