South Africa: President Zuma can’t intervene in Pravin Gordhan probe
The rand, which had tumbled 5 percent since Tuesday in response to the investigation, picked up on Thursday and extended gains to 1.3 percent after Zuma’s statement, although analysts said the president had offered only qualified support.
It was an ambiguous vote of confidence in Pravin Gordhan
News of Gordhan’s summons this week compounded investors’ worries about a power struggle between Zuma and Gordhan as Africa’s most industrialised economy teeters near recession and credit rating agencies consider downgrading it to “junk”.
The main opposition party called on Thursday for a parliamentary debate into what it called a “witch-hunt” against Gordhan, who was in charge of the tax service when the unit under investigation was set up.
Investors and rating agencies back Gordhan’s plans to rein in government spending in an economy that has been forecast by the central bank to register no growth this year.
In his first public comments on the matter since it surfaced late on Tuesday, Zuma said he had noted the concerns by individuals and various organisations over the investigation.
“President Jacob Zuma wishes to express his full support and confidence in the Minister of Finance and emphasises the fact that the minister has not been found guilty of any wrong doing,” the presidency said in a statement.
“The Presidency wishes to also emphasise that President Zuma does not have powers to stop any investigations into any individual/s.”
Gordhan said on Wednesday he had no legal obligation to obey a police summons linked to an investigation into whether he used the South African Revenue Service (SARS) to spy on politicians including Zuma.
Tensions with treasury
A Zuma-backed plan to build a series of nuclear power plants, at a cost of as much as $60 billion, has caused tension with the Treasury for months and is likely adding to pressure on Gordhan’s position, analysts say.
The presidency said in May that Zuma was not warring with Gordhan. However analysts questioned the extent of Zuma’s stated support for his finance minister.
“It was an ambiguous vote of confidence in Pravin Gordhan which would suggest that the agencies supposedly investigating in Pravin Gordhan will be given relatively free rein to continue these investigations,” said Daniel Silke, a director at Political Futures Consultancy.
NKC African Economics analyst Gary van Staden concurred. “Anybody who watches English football can tell you when the owner says he has confidence in the manager, the manager is out of there in a week,” he said.
Political activists protested outside the offices of the Hawks, the elite police unit that is investigating Gordhan, in solidarity with the minister. Two former officials of SARS were at the offices having presented themselves to the police. Hawks spokesman Hangwani Mulaudzi declined to comment.
A former finance minister, Trevor Manuel, said on Wednesday the economy would be “destroyed” if Zuma fired Gordhan, after he changed finance ministers twice in one week in December.