About 93.4 million Nigerian voters scattered across the 36 states and the nation’s capital will next month elect a new president. However, each state has its own peculiarity and voting patterns that can shape the overall outcome of a poll. Read on for our 8-part series on the key swing states, and the political personalities who define them.
Rivers State - cash rich with oil money, and a key vote bank for the opposition PDP - is led by Governor Nyesom Wike, a member of the said party. The only problem? A jilted Wike, who saw himself as the PDP presidential candidate, is not playing ball. Part one of our Battleground States series.
Lagos represents the largest state in terms of votes... but historically has the lowest turnout. That is set to change as determined supporters of Peter Obi and Atiku Abubakar work to build their ground game. Will Lagos Godfather Bola Tinubu weather the storm? And will the PDP's national crisis be replicated in Lagos? Part two in our series of battleground states in Nigeria.
The commercial capital of Northern Nigeria is central to winning elections in the country. It has the second largest number of registered voters after Lagos, at 5.9 million. However, unlike Lagos, turnout is higher, and Kano regularly produces the highest number of votes in elections.
With a recent legal victory, the ruling APC have clawed their way back into contention in Osun State. The PDP took the state in the gubernatorial contest of July 2022, and has been trying to weaken APC influence.
Who will win in Oyo State? Normally, the state would be a walk in the park for the opposition PDP, with a star governor, Seyi Makinde, in charge. However - in what may be similar to Rivers State - an opposition rift looks to be gifting the vote bloc to the ruling APC...